August 23
BTC is $77,405 | 4:42pm Sunday
BTC was $76,740 on Friday when oil was $86.94
Forex
Iran dismissed looming US sanctions as desperation, vowing they will fail
Hormuz shipping stays near a standstill as Tehran advances a bill to charge transit fees
AlJaz
Iranian draft law says ships of countries permitted to pass through Hormuz will pay for services provided
Any state joining US sanctions will be considered an enemy, and Tehran will retaliate
Iran to detain, confiscate violating ships in Strait of Hormuz | Press
Iran
Iran security chief hints at nuclear doctrine shift after US attacks
Mapped: Adults Living in Their Birth State
Louisiana had the highest share of adult residents born in-state of any U.S. state in 2024, at 74%
Nevada had the lowest share at just 17%, reflecting decades of rapid population growth and in-migration
Nationwide, 49% of U.S. adults live in the state where they were born.
Hillary Reportedly Planning Bill Clinton's Funeral
A state funeral for a former president is fairly standard practice, but he details attached to Clinton's version are where things get interesting. Clinton may ultimately be buried at the William J. Clinton Presidential Library and Museum in Little Rock, Ark. Wagener suggested Clinton has his eye on the library's rooftop garden specifically. | Images of Presidental Library
Culture Shift Week at Legal Insurrection
Bill Maher’s rightward shift is a reaction to what the left is doing.
Ditto Fetterman's Move to the Right
Did Canada Just Sign Its Own Economic Death Warrant? | Zero
WEF globalist Mark Carney has been a disaster for Canada since he entered office. There were many critics who believed the Trudeau regime could not be topped in terms of self destructive behavior. Carney will end up selling his nation's sovereignty to China or the EU just to spite the Trump Administration. Carney is clearly steering Canada to the side of the WEF ideal.
Thirty Years Ago I Built Data Centers in Your Backyard.
After the Telecommunications Act of 1996 opened local telephone networks to competition, venture-backed companies raced to build carrier hotels and colocation facilities across the country. Today, the US has more than 5,000 confirmed operational data centers and 87% of existing facilities sit in urban areas. Data centers are already part of American communities.
AlJaz
Iran’s president says need to move beyond ‘no war, no peace’ situation
Iran warns that countries backing US economic sanctions will be considered an enemy
Debt Rattle
* Like Polish, German, Irish, and Italian immigrants before them, Muslims control several small cities
* The Democrats have corrupted the electoral system. Mail-in voting and street corner ballot boxes
* FDR expanded West Wing from 15,000 to 40,000sq ft, added a story, enlarged the basement
* When I’m 85 and my relatives all tell me I should go to assisted living, I’ll say:
Screw that. I’ve got Tesla Optimus.
USPS finalizes rule requiring states to provide voter lists for mail-in ballots
Under the rule, states would have to submit voters’ names and addresses, along with unique barcodes assigned to ballot envelopes. The measure is intended to apply to the November midterm elections, but it remains blocked by a federal court injunction. U.S. District Judge Indira Talwani has ruled that portions of Trump’s executive order, including the provisions involving the USPS and mail-in ballots, cannot currently be enforced.
Peak Digest
Iranian hackers reportedly shut down a British power plant for four days
Attorneys for Fauci established a legal defense fund depsite his net worth reported at $15 million
Turkey has issued an international arrest warrant for Netanyahu on genocide charges
News
Canada to Apply Dollar-for-Dollar US Counter-Tariffs as Trade Feud Escalates
Trade Talks With Canada Collapse, Trump Will Seriously Regret This | Mish
Trump To Flood US With 300,000 Tons Of Tariff-Free Ground Beef Ahead Of Midterms | Zero
Diesel is $5.607 vs $5.446 a week ago
Next Week: The Warsh Speech at Jackson Hole
Data: Personal income and spending, PCE prices, durable goods, and the annual revision to NFP
After the Treasury buyback announcement, the Warsh speech could actually be a market-moving event
Earnings by Nvidia will remain a bellwether for global AI demand
Wolf
Long-Term Treasury Yields Surge, Wipe Out Effect of Bessent’s Hocus-Pocus Treasury Buybacks in 2 Days
Bond Market Not to Be Played With. If bond buyers lose confidence, they’ll demand even higher yields. Bessent better watch out with his games.
Breit
Everyone Got Worried About the Long Bond. The dumbest thing that happened this week is that the financial press and many Wall Street analysts became convinced that rising yields on long-dated Treasury bonds indicated a surge of investor anxiety over inflation. While it’s true that yields on the 30-year Treasury rose to their highest since 2007, this had nothing to do with inflation anxiety. The proof of this is that the yields on inflation-protected bonds did not rise significantly.
QTR
What if the 10 year treasury keeps moving towards 6%? Nobody knows exactly where the breaking point is, but we are getting closer to finding out. Now federal debt is above $40 trillion, interest expense is enormous, Treasury issuance is relentless and the marginal buyer is starting to ask for more compensation.
CTH
A Direct and Confrontational U.S-Canada Trade War is Now a Reality
The news is exceptionally bad for Canada. Worse than bad. The divide between the two economies and trade policy is just too big. There was no way for both sides to close the gap without major structural economic changes within Canada.
Mkts 2Y 10Y 30Y
The S&P500 declined 1.4% (up 12.1% y-t-d)
Two-year government yields rose seven bps to 4.24% (up 76bps y-t-d)
Ten-year Treasury yields increased four bps to 4.73% (up 57bps)
Long bond yields added a basis point to 5.27% (up 43bps)
Dollar Index declined 0.8% to 98.839 (up 0.5% y-t-d)
Spot Gold rallied 6.7% to $4,603 (up 6.6%)
WTI Crude surged $4.66, or 5.7%, to $87.06 (up 52%)
The New York Times quoted the mother of a sailor who said, “They Didn’t Sign Up to Be on a Ship in the Middle of the Ocean.”
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