May 17
S&P Oil FX Gold 10Y
Oil is up $1.37 to $106.78 | 8:14
DXY increased to 99.35, recent high
Bitcoin (BTC) is down $494 from Saturday
Debt Rattle
Kevin Warsh says QE is fueling inflation. The Fed's massive balance sheet is part of the problem.
"The Fed should exit markets outside of crises." Not Powell talking - a completely different philosophy
Why Warsh wants the Fed to keep quiet
The incoming chair thinks that constant ‘incantations’ do more harm than good
Week Ahead: Rising US Rates Underpin Greenback | Marc
The US economy appears to be re-accelerating here in Q2 after nearly grinding to a halt in Q1
Fed funds rate in December is up more than 75 bp since the war on Iran began.
The bond rout was global. | Dog Noland Weekly
It’s worth noting that most risk/financial conditions indicators moved only marginally this week.
For the Week: Two-year government yields jumped 18 bps to 4.07% (up 60bps y-t-d)
Ten-year Treasury yields rose 24 bps to 4.59% (up 43bps)
Long bond yields jumped 18 bps to 5.12% (up 27bps)
Lacy Hunt, a Bond Bull for 44 Years, Now Forecasts Higher Inflation | Mish
His inflation outlook is fairly blunt: inflation will climb above 4%, with periods that could push closer to 5% or even 5.5%!!!
The WHO Drums Up Fear With Ebola After Hantavirus Scare Fails | Zero
No one believes them anymore. And even if there was a legitimate biological threat, no one is going to trust an corrupt organization like the WHO to solve the problem.
The Fed is “behind the curve,” and the bond market is getting very nervous. | Wolf
The long end of the Treasury market completely blew off the Fed’s rate cuts, as indicated by the widening gap, now 149 basis points, between the 30-year yield (5.12%) and the Effective Federal Funds Rate of 3.63%
Wages are now rising aggressively across the skilled trades | Arm
This is where the mainstream economic narrative completely failed. Governments assumed everything would become a digital service economy where everyone sat behind screens while production moved overseas.
The Thucydides Trap is the tendency for war to arise when an emerging power threatens to displace an existing great power
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at 1:00 AM