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March 30

S&P   Oil   FX   Gold   BTC  10Y
Brent is $112.87. The conflict high is $119.50 | 12:078
S&P is up 0.43%
10Y is lower in yield by 10.3bp to 4.335%
Recession Fears Surpass Inflation Concerns | Zero

Investors worry that higher energy costs could weigh on the economy and limit the Federal Reserve’s room to raise interest rates. As a result, the probability of a Fed rate hike in 2026 dropped to around 20%, from roughly 35% at the end of last week. Attention also turns to a busy economic calendar, with key releases including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the jobs report, which should offer further insight into the strength of the economy.

Trump Issues Fresh Threat to Iranian Energy Sites | WSJ
NATO Member Spain Closes Airspace To US Planes Involved In Iran Operations | Crade

Last week the S&P slumped 2.1% (down 7.0% y-t-d)
Ten-year Treasury yields gained five bps to 4.43% (up 26bps)
Dollar Index increased 0.5% to 100.193 (up 1.9% y-t-d)
WTI Crude added $1.41, or 1.4%, to $99.64 (up 74%)
Bitcoin sank $4,600, or 6.5%, to $65,940 (down 24.8%)

Debt Rattle



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