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February 11

S&P   Oil   FX   Gold   Silver  10Y   USH
S&P is down 0.03% | 10:13
10Y is 4.177%, higher by 2.9bp
Gold is up 1% to $5,074
Dollar index is up 0.16%

BLS Revises Nonfarm Payrolls for 2025 Lower by 1 Million Jobs | Mish
For the full year, the as-revised job gain was a grand total of 229,000. That’s an average of 19,000 jobs per month.

NFP up 130K payrolls in January and well above forecasts of 70K.
Prior was +50K, revised to +48K/ Two-month net revision -17K

Unemployment rate 4.3% vs 4.4% expected and 4.4% prior
U-6 measure fell to 8.0% from 8.4% in the previous month.

Average Hourly Earnings in the United States increased 0.40 percent in January of 2026 over the previous month. Average Hourly Earnings in the United States averaged 0.26 percent from 2006 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 4.50 percent in April of 2020 and a record low of -1.10 percent in May of 2020.

US Nonfarm Payrolls Top Estimates
The US economy likely added 130K payrolls in January and well above forecasts of 70K.
Prior was +50K, revised to +48K

Unemployment rate 4.3% vs 4.4% expected and 4.4% prior
U-6 measure fell to 8.0% from 8.4% in the previous month.

Trump Quietly Pulled Back All National Guard Troops | PW

Russia and China are clearly taking the Anglo-Zionist threat to Iran very seriously | Wauck
The Chinese support obviously goes beyond radars

Thursday: Jobless Claims
Friday: CPI consensus for core m/m is 0.3%; headline m/m is 0.3%
Headline CPI y/y would be 2.5% vs 2.7% prior

Seasonal Adjustments Gone Awry? They whacked $82 billion off December sales, by far the most ever | Wolf
When Government Subsidies Stopped, Doritos Got 15% Cheaper | Zero
PepsiCo spent $2.8 million to keep junk food eligible for food stamps | Zero

Debt Rattle
“I’d like to die on Mars, just not on impact…” - Elon
Lavrov: US No Longer Wants its agreement on Ukraine reached in Anchorage back in August 2025
Trump uses Canadians as toys. It’s what you get for electing Justin.


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