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August 20

Mkts  2Y  10Y  30Y
S&P is down 0.58% | 13:40
Oil is $86.63, up 2.70%.
Gold is down $1
Dollar index is 98.71, down 0.10% and near its lowest level in three months
Bitcoin is above $72K After Largest Single-Day Crypto Short Liquidation

10Y yield is higher by 6.1bp to 4.701%
30Y yield is higher by 5.6bp to 5.251%

News
US leading index for July +0.2%
Initial jobless claims 206K
Philadelphia Factory Growth Strongest since 2021: +47.4 vs +41.4 prior
Walmart Slides After Slowest US Sales Growth in Six Years | Bloom

Treasury Buybacks Swap Old Cheap Debt for New Expensive Debt | Wolf
US Debt Tops $40 Trillion, the Pace Is What’s Most Alarming | Mish
The bond market is making sure that reality eventually reaches its maturity date. | QTR
"Doom Loop" Engaged: US Debt Hits $40 Trillion As Treasury Enters The Endgame | Zero

Will the Diesel Crisis Decide the 2026 Elections? | Arm
Diesel is up again: $5.547 vs $5.107 a month ago
Russia is now importing diesel fuel

Peak Digest
Trump announced an expanded sanctions regime against Iran, threatening economic consequences for countries whose institutions provide support to Tehran. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi called the measures economic terrorism. The UAE has suspended financial ties with Iran after accusing Tehran of firing missiles toward its waters.

If Trump tries secondary sanctions China will respond aggressively | Wauck
and the American financial markets will collapse much more rapidly. If he doesn’t try secondary sanctions people will ignore this post like they ignore the others. \\\ Axios once again exaggerates to manipulate the market, claiming 15-20 oil tankers are entering and exiting the Strait of Hormuz US-backed southern Omani corridor every single night.

If Iran Is Beaten and Hormuz Is Ours, Why the “Unprecedented” Sanctions? | John
You do not need an unprecedented new sanctions campaign to defeat a country you have already defeated. You do not need to threaten fresh bombing to open a strait you already own. The escalation is the confession. Each new demand for pressure is an admission that the last claim of victory wasn’t real.

Iran
Iranian Foreign Minister criticized Trump's threatened "economic D-Day" against Iran, saying US economic pressure threatened the global economy and national sovereignty.

AlJaz
Bring further defeat’ to US: Iran dismisses Trump’s new economic measures

The Black Sea is on fire: military action has led to a record rise in grain prices | Top
Russia’s blockade of Odessa is not getting the attention it warrants. | Naked

Israel, Turkey Continue Dispute Over Syria After Airbase Strike | Epoch
The latest exchange followed Israeli strikes on Abu al-Duhur Airbase in Syria’s Idlib province on Aug. 18, which Israel has linked to concerns that Turkey was seeking to expand its military footprint inside Syria.

Doug Casey
What Boobus Americanus doesn’t understand is that we don’t live in a real capitalist system.
What we have in the U.S. is better described as state capitalism, which is a “partnership” between large corporations and the government. Mussolini described it as fascism.

Fascism has nothing to do with jackboots, military parades, and hating Jews. It’s an economic system where the means of production are privately owned but essentially controlled by the State.

Debt Rattle
Pelosi, Democrats Kept Swalwell On Intel Committee Despite FBI Warnings
Fauci Advisor Pleads Guilty to “Conspiracy to Defraud the United States”

Universal Healthcare Sounds Great. Here's What's Happening in Countries That Have It. | Reas
With calls for “free healthcare” growing louder in America, countries with universal systems offer a warning: long waits, rationed care, and unmet medical needs.

In Canada, the closest country to the United States that has universal healthcare, healthcare spending is responsible for 12.7 percent of GDP, several percentage points higher than the average spend of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries. Despite this higher spending, the median waiting time between referral from a general practitioner and receiving treatment has hit 28.6 weeks

Bessent Mocks Robert Reich, Saying the Diminutive Former Labor Secretary Has ‘Come Up Short’

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