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April 4

S&P   Oil   FX   Gold   BTC  10Y
BTC is 67,274, up from 66,941 at Friday's close | 2:52pm Saturday

Brent oil spot price for actual cargo soars to $141
The price was $32.33 higher than the Brent crude futures contract for June delivery

The next two weeks are critical | OilPx
if disruptions persist, cascading failures could trigger inflation, supply shortages, and a broader global economic shock.

Trump Threatens to Escalate War as U.S. Searches for Crew Member of Downed Warplane
Trump says Iran has 48 hours to open the Strait of Hormuz or "all hell will reign down on Iran." | TrendP
"Remember when I gave Iran ten days to make a deal... time is running out," Trump says.

The week ahead begins slowly with many centers shut for Easter Monday
Its Still Mostly about the War: FOMC minutes, CPI data, the ISM Services PMI, Michigan Sentiment, and PCE
It appears the modest labor market recession of 2025 is officially over | Zero
The data reinforced expectations that the Fed will keep the federal funds rate unchanged this year

Doug Noland Weekly
A well-timed short squeeze significantly mitigated Q1 market declines. The S&P500 rallied 2.9% during the quarter’s final trading session, reducing Q1 losses to 4.6%.

For the Week: The S&P500 rallied 3.4% (down 3.8% y-t-d)
Ten-year Treasury yields dropped nine bps to 4.34% (up 17bps)
Dollar Index was little changed at 100.185 (up 1.9% y-t-d)
Gold rallied 4.1% to $4,677 (up 8.3%)
WTI Crude surged $11.90, or 11.9%, to $111.54 (up 94%)

Diversity Erodes Trust, But Islamic Migration Destroys It | A.Muse
Robert Putnam did not want to publish his findings. People living in more ethnically diverse neighborhoods trusted their neighbors less. They volunteered less, gave to charity less, worked on community projects less. They watched more television. They reported lower political efficacy and less confidence in local government.

Most unsettling of all, the erosion of trust was not simply directed at people from other groups. Trust in one’s own group fell too. Diversity, Putnam concluded, seemed to make everyone withdraw.
“Diversity, at least in the short run,” he wrote, “seems to bring out the turtle in all of us.”

Trump’s Premature Claim About Air Supremacy and Obliterated Iranian Air Defenses | John
Air Force had a difficult day on Friday.

Sorry, guys. We couldn’t liberate you, so Plan B is we’re sending you back to the Stone Age | Simpl
And to end on a laugh, here’s CNN telling their smooth-brained audience that the shot-down US pilot may have been hailed as a hero and liberator by “happy” local Iranians who, apparently, would be eager to thank the pilot for bombing them

Trump and some around him still do not ‘get’ Iran. | Moon
They never in their own life held any principle they would not deviated from if money was to be made. Iran, in contrast, does have principles that are not up for sale. It is beyond Trump’s comprehension that such exit:

Scott Ritter: Iran’s Fath-360 Wipes Out 40 F-35s in 30 Min
Single source story.

Iran is well aware of US/Western reliance on radar-based systems | Naked
That is a big reason Iran quickly went after THAAD radars and is now hunting their backup, AWACS jets. The F-35 is stealthy only to radar detection; it can be “seen” thermally and also reportedly emits a lot of electronic signals.

The Market Law Of One Price | Doug Casey
If the Donald thinks the oil price is going to be high in Europe and Asia because they get their hydrocarbon molecules from the Persian Gulf and low in the USA because we are 100% self-sufficient in oil and gas, he is sadly and utterly mistaken. The digital networks of the paper and cash markets will quickly equilibriate the price of hydrocarbons on a worldwide basis, and the physical barrels will not be far behind.

Debt Rattle
Trump is preparing full, unconditional pardons for Julian Assange and Edward Snowden
The deep state is in panic. Brennan, Clapper, and Comey are next. This isn’t mercy—it’s strategic warfare

Idaho and Utah have enacted statutes declaring that artificial intelligence systems are not legal persons

Since Trump returned to office, the private sector has added 609,000 jobs. At the same time, federal government employment has dropped by 352,000. On top of that, native-born Americans are benefiting, too. A total of 218,000 native-born workers have gained employment, and 193,000 have entered the labor force.

Artemis II crew is asking ground crew for help because they have two versions of Microsoft Outlook open and neither is working | Insta

The Week In Pictures: No Queens Edition


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