July 13
S&P Oil FX Gold 10Y BTC CLZ6
Oil is up 9.68% to $78.36. Brent is $83.56 | 4:41
S&P is down 0.89%
Gold is down $122
2Y yield is 4.288%, higher by 7,2bp to ighest since 2025
10Y is 4.627%. higher by 6.5bp
Dollar index is up 0.36% as 2Y yield rises
Trump vows to hit Iran hard, weighs taking out Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site | Israel
Cleveland Fed Forecasts: CPI on Tuesday
June headline CPI down -0.06 m/m and 3.92% y/y
Core CPI up +0.23 m/m and 2.85% y/y
Goldman expects US core CPI to ease to 2.8% year-on-year in June | Forex
AAA gasoline is $3.872 vs $3.797 a week ago
Trump’s desire to charge toll could prove problematic with Oman | AlJz
Iran says that the Strait of Hormuz is closed. | Moon
The U.S. has reinstalled its maritime blockade of Iran. Trump is demanding a 20% payment on all cargo passing the Strait. Oil prices are rising as are the chances for a new global depression. The U.S. is incapable of acknowledging its defeat that had followed after it had attacked Iran (twice).
The US is now trapped in this doom-loop of impotence | Simpl
continuing to strike the same insignificant coastal launch sites over and over to no effect while waiting out Iran’s “surrender” to a war the Persian nation had long won.
Alastair Crooke: Hormuz is its “atomic weapon.” Iran will not relinquish it.
The timeline of this new bout of escalation is likely dictated by U.S. refinery inventories and the extent of the “hurt” being experienced by Trump back home in the context of his fading political prospects.
Putin Vows Far More Powerful, Tit-for-Tat Retaliation | Sput
Russia's strikes on ports in the Odesa region are cutting Ukraine off from Europe | TopWar
Moodys: Without U.S Military Leading Europe, Credit Rating for EU Sovereign Countries Will be Lowered | CTH
Houthis Ready to Close the Strait of Bab el-Mandeb
Mideast energy supplies can reach the global market via the Red Sea. But that only works so long as the Houthis stay out of the war.
The Houthis are increasingly setting their own agenda | Respon
Saudi Jets Bomb Sanaa International Airport To Stop Iranian Passenger Plane From Landing | Zero
Today’s Peak Digest
Based on current crack spreads, diesel is trading as if crude oil is $140 per barrel. Diesel powers 80 percent of US freight, 80 percent of global sea trade, and most farming and mining. Adding to concerns, US diesel inventory has fallen below 2008 levels. Additionally, crude oil in floating storage dropped 32 percent in one week to 82.85 million barrels. Middle East storage fell 66 percent, and the US Gulf Coast fell 69 percent.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is scheduled to make his first appearance before Congress on Tuesday
Also this week: PPI, retail sales, and industrial production
The FX carry trade looks poised to continue shining - Goldman | Forex
"We argue that carry bears more relevance for G10 FX markets now than it has at virtually any other point since the year 2000, and we continue to see value in carry strategies funded by G10 low-yielders (JPY, CHF, EUR, CAD) in the months ahead.
The most lasting legacy of Covid — even above the school learning loss and the national debt soaring — is that because virtually every “Covid conspiracy” ended up true no one trusts the government on anything. It’s the primary reason Dr. Fauci skating on his lies is toxic. | Insta
Debt Rattle
The nation’s two major teachers unions—the American Federation of Teachers and the National Education Association—are cash machines for the Democratic Party. And the last thing they want is parents having any say in where their child receives their K-12 education.
Email: wkidder42@gmail.com
Text: 1 646 257 2130
Voice: Use WhatsApp +1 646 257 2130
Email: wkidder42@gmail.com
Text: 1 646 257 2130
Voice: Use WhatsApp +1 646 257 2130 at 1:00 AM