June 11
S&P Oil FX Gold 10Y CLZ6
S&P 500 is up 0.32% | 11:18
Oil is up $0.41
Gold is up $11
10Y is lower by 3.6bp
Crude oil prices moved between gains and losses around $90 per barrel on Thursday as traders balanced geopolitical risks with still-functioning global supply flows. President Donald Trump warned of possible further US attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure, including the Kharg Island export terminal, while also signaling reduced appetite for a major escalation.
At the same time, the UAE and Iran held rare direct talks, raising hopes for diplomatic de-escalation in the region. So far, oil facilities have largely been spared, which has helped prevent the kind of supply shock many traders had feared and kept prices well below earlier conflict peaks. Inventories are tightening in key regions, with US crude stocks including strategic reserves down sharply over recent weeks and Singapore fuel inventories at their lowest since 2013.
Initial Claims Jump To 4-Month-Highs: 229,000
Producer Price Index UP 1.1% Month-over-Month; UP 6.5% Y-o-Y
PPI is highest since Nov 2022, but like core CPI, PPI core came in below forecasts
This is not Iran. Deficit spending is presenting severe cost-push pressure into supply chain | MTick
Trump has reignited the war with Iran and it is going to be ugly. | John
BORZZIKMAN reports that Iranian and Russian sources say that Iran destroyed 12 F-35 combat aircraft last night that were sheltered at a Jordanian airbase. \\ Trump’s Covert Oil Scam… Setting the Record Straight
We are heading toward a major crisis for the world economy and long war | Wauck
Trump Approval Index is 43%, up from its recent lowest at 40% | Ras
AAA gas is down to $4.129 $from $4.520 a month ago
After SpaceX IPO, Jefferies Lays Out Five Takeaways For Space Boom Into 2030s | Zero
Friday’s SpaceX IPO will be a defining moment not only for capital markets but also for the booming space industry and Elon Musk’s broader industrial empire, which has catapulted America to the lead in the space race against Communist China and Russia.
The SpaceX IPO, the AI Super Bubble, and the Bells Ringing at the Top of the Market | DCasey
The other two gigantic offerings coming soon, Anthropic and OpenAI, are pure bets on AI. Include me out.
Musk's Galactic Ripoff | Robert Reich
But many of us with any savings parked in major stock indices won’t have any choice. We’re going to end up investing in SpaceX whether we want to or not. That’s because the major indices have been rigged.
The SAVE America Act Hits A Milestone, Does It Have Momentum Now? | Zero
The legislation, formally titled the Safeguarding American Voter Eligibility Act, would require proof of U.S. citizenship at voter registration and a valid photo ID to cast a ballot in federal elections. It cleared the House months ago and has sat in the Senate since, caught between a Republican majority that supports it and a 60-vote cloture threshold that has become its ceiling.
Will Supreme Court Crack Down on Election Autumn? | PL
There are a great many things wrong with our election systems, but one of them may be addressed in a case that awaits decision in the Supreme Court. The case is Watson v. Republican National Committee, and the issue is whether the State of Mississippi’s statute allowing ballots that arrive after Election Day to be counted violates federal law.
Putin is losing his war against Ukraine
A verdict that Russia is losing is not a prediction that it will lose. A losing trajectory can be arrested, and even reversed, if the right conditions are created, reinforced or sustained. Such reversal conditions are Russia’s possible remedies, and Putin’s people will be working to bring them about or exploit them while Ukraine and its supporters work to close them off as routes to Putin’s success.
FIFA: La Fédération Internationale de Football Association.
A monstrous parasite, leaving just enough cash in football to keep the host organism alive. FIFA expects $11–$14 billion in revenue off the tournament. ProPublica has done the yeoman’s work on documenting the insane shakedown this World Cup has turned into. It reports host cities will receive zero share of game-day revenue—no ticket cut, no concessions, no merchandise, no parking, nothing. FIFA keeps it all. Cities have to provide security, transportation, fan festivals, training sites, and infrastructure upgrades, at costs that may range between $100 and $250 million per city.
The Oppenheimer of AI
The “extinction” threat posed by a new superintelligence (or “agentic AI”) that slips the leash of human control, conceives its own aims, defeats human countermeasures, and pursues a mission inimical to humans—exponentially reproducing itself to do so.
Enrico Fermi wondered, "Where are all the aliens?"
KR: Answer A: Aliens are all dead -- killed by their versions of AI.
KR: Answer B: Aliens who are intelligent enough to travel to Earth are also too smart to actually travel here.
Forbes ranks Elon Musk as the first trillionaire ever.
As in a thousand billions. He is over triple the net worth of Larry Page who is second place.
Debt Rattle
* Redistricting has been HUGE. Republicans are now favored to WIN THE US HOUSE
* Multiple explosions being reported at American bases in Kuwait and Bahrain
* Where Does IPO Capital Come From?
* Elizabeth Warren is calling for the SEC to delay the mega SpaceX IPO
* Canadians are going bananas. Trump points out that he has no intention of renewing USMCA
* Who currently own SpaceX:
Elon Musk: 42%
Founder Fund (Peter Thiel): 10%
Google Ventures: 7%
Others: 30%
Chef's kiss is a gesture and expression meant to show something is perfect or excellent. The gesture is made by pinching the fingers and thumb of one hand together (often in an OK sign), kissing them, and then tossing them dramatically away from the lips.
California's political leaders have failed to clear the brush in the public land bordering Los Angeles. Fire expert Gabriel Mann explains how the state's policies are making another massive wildfire inevitable. | Insta
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